Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000034 0.000037 0.000040 0.000044 0.000048 0.000052 0.000057
2025-12-07 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000030 0.000034 0.000040 0.000048 0.000056 0.000067
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000057 0.000071
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000073
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000075
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000079
2026-01-18 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000048 0.000063 0.000086
2026-01-25 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000079 0.000111
2026-02-01 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000056 0.000078 0.000111
2026-02-08 0.000016 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000055 0.000077 0.000112
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.000021 0.000028 0.000039 0.000055 0.000078 0.000115
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000055 0.000080 0.000122
2026-03-01 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000037 0.000054 0.000079 0.000123
2026-03-08 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000052 0.000079 0.000125
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000051 0.000079 0.000128
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000050 0.000078 0.000129
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000049 0.000077 0.000130
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000031 0.000049 0.000079 0.000135
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000014 0.000020 0.000032 0.000051 0.000083 0.000147
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000062 0.000105 0.000193
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000036 0.000059 0.000102 0.000192
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000034 0.000058 0.000101 0.000192